Final polls, forecasting models and markets pointed toward a “blue tsunami” in Tuesday's elections, according to Axios reporting on final polls, models and markets. The outlet reported that nearly every major indicator was forecasting a Democratic rout, and it described the threat as bearing down on President Trump's Washington.
The New York Times also reported on the final polling. In an article by Nate Cohn, the paper said its Times/Siena surveys show Democrats leading in all the key battlegrounds that will decide Senate control. The article's headline asked whether those final polls can be trusted, a question the summary does not answer.
Axios reported that expectations for the midterms have soared so high that some Democrats fear disappointment is inevitable, particularly if the party falls short of winning the Senate. The outlet described that Senate prize as one that had seemed beyond reach.
The two reports emphasize different points. The Times focused on whether the final polls can be trusted, while Axios reported that polls, models and markets alike pointed in the same direction. Neither report describes election results, and neither summary identifies the battleground races by name.
Taken together, the reports describe a pre-election outlook that points toward Democratic gains, with the Senate at the center of expectations. The available summaries do not state poll margins, vote totals or the specific candidates involved, so the size of any projected shift cannot be determined from them.
Sources: The New York Times: The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge. Can We Trust Them?; Axios: Final polls, models and markets see a "blue tsunami".