July 2021 · National edition

Opinion

The Cost Of Certainty Without the Team Jersey

A Opinion desk reading of the cost of certainty, filed 2021-07.

From the file. Written for the paper dated July 2021. Opened in the public stacks July 14, 2026.

In a political landscape increasingly characterized by tribalism, the consequences of certainty rooted in identity rather than evidence have never been more apparent.

Jerry Carl in a remote Natural Resources GOP meeting - 2021-09-02
Jerry Carl in a remote Natural Resources GOP meeting - 2021-09-02. Photo: Office of Jerry Carl via Wikimedia Commons

The Rise of Certainty

The current climate of American politics seems unusually polarized, with each side retreating into its respective ideological corners. On one hand, we have the left, which often champions progressive values and social justice initiatives, while on the other, the right remains steadfast in its commitment to traditionalism and a free-market economy. Both sides, however, share a common ailment: an unwavering certainty that often trumps critical examination of facts. This certainty, while comforting for the adherents, has profound implications for public discourse and policy-making.

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Take, for instance, the ongoing debates surrounding climate change. The left has positioned itself as the unequivocal champion of climate action, often dismissing any contrary viewpoints as mere climate denialism. While the urgency of the climate crisis cannot be overstated, the approach taken by some on the left risks alienating potential allies who may possess valid concerns or alternative perspectives. This is not to say that the science behind climate change is anything but robust; rather, it is a caution against the dangers of certainty that can stifle productive dialogue.

East 300 block of Main Street, 1900
East 300 block of Main Street, 1900. Photo: LeAnn Lemberger / FortepanIowa via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Conversely, the right has often responded with a blanket skepticism towards climate science, framing it as a liberal hoax designed to undermine economic freedom. This reactionary stance is equally problematic, as it dismisses overwhelming scientific evidence and deprives the public of a nuanced understanding of a pressing global issue. In both cases, certainty is wielded like a weapon, preventing a constructive exchange of ideas and fostering an environment where compromise is deemed a betrayal.

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Identity Over Evidence

The polarization is not limited to climate change; it extends to a myriad of issues including healthcare, immigration, and social justice. The left has been known to rally around identity politics, where the lived experiences of marginalized groups are lauded as the ultimate authority on truth. While amplifying these voices is crucial, an over-reliance on identity can lead to an exclusionary mindset that overlooks the complexities of individual experiences. Evidence and data often take a back seat, resulting in policies that may not address the root causes of societal issues.

On the right, the attachment to tradition and a nostalgic vision of America often blinds individuals to the realities of modern challenges. This steadfast adherence to a set of beliefs can create an echo chamber where dissenting opinions are not only unwelcome but actively suppressed. The result is a political discourse that is less about finding common ground and more about reinforcing existing beliefs, no matter how far removed they may be from empirical evidence.

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Certainty in politics is a double-edged sword; it provides comfort but can also hinder progress.

Bridging the Divide

So how do we bridge this divide? The answer lies in fostering a culture that values evidence over identity. This is not an easy task, as it requires individuals to step outside their comfort zones and engage with ideas that may challenge their beliefs. It necessitates a commitment to intellectual humility, where one can acknowledge the possibility of being wrong and remain open to new information.

Moreover, the media plays a critical role in shaping public perceptions. Sensationalism and partisanship can exacerbate divides, often prioritizing ratings over responsible reporting. Journalists must strive to present a balanced view, highlighting evidence-based arguments while allowing space for diverse perspectives. The goal should be to inform rather than inflame, creating an environment conducive to meaningful discourse.

A Call to Action

In this era of heightened polarization, a call to action is necessary. It is time for both the left and the right to recognize the limitations of certainty rooted in identity. By prioritizing evidence and fostering an environment of critical inquiry, we can begin to heal the fractures within our society. This will not happen overnight, but it is a crucial step toward re-establishing a sense of shared purpose and collective responsibility.

As we navigate this complex landscape, let us remember that certainty can be a double-edged sword. It can offer comfort, but left unchecked, it can hinder progress and deepen divides. The path forward lies in the willingness to embrace uncertainty and engage in the messy but vital work of understanding one another.


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