July 2020 · National edition

Commerce

On Consumer Confidence, and the bipartisan habit of selective memory

A Commerce desk reading of consumer confidence, filed 2020-07.

From the file. Written for the paper dated July 2020. Opened in the public stacks July 14, 2026.

As the economy struggles amid the ongoing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, both sides of the political spectrum have showcased a troubling tendency to engage in selective memory regarding consumer confidence. This lack of accountability not only distorts the current narrative but also skews public perception of economic realities.

Downtown Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 10 Feb 2022
Downtown Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 10 Feb 2022. Photo: theMinsk via Wikimedia Commons

Defining Consumer Confidence

Consumer confidence is a critical economic indicator that reflects the optimism or pessimism of households regarding their financial situation and the overall economic climate. When consumers feel secure in their jobs and future income, they are more likely to spend, which in turn drives economic growth. However, during times of crisis, such as the current pandemic, consumer confidence can be unpredictable and volatile.

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The Left: Pushing for Pessimism

In the current political landscape, many on the left have actively emphasized the negative aspects of consumer confidence. With a focus on the devastating unemployment rates and diminished spending, they paint a bleak picture of the economy’s future. While there is validity in highlighting these concerns, the left’s rhetoric often ignores any signs of resilience or recovery within certain sectors, such as online retail and essential goods.

View from the Twin Peaks to the neighborhoods around Downtown, San Francisco, USA
View from the Twin Peaks to the neighborhoods around Downtown, San Francisco, USA. Photo: Dietmar Rabich via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)
"To simply decry the state of consumer confidence without acknowledging the nuances creates a distorted reality."

For instance, the rise in e-commerce spending during lockdowns has been significant, yet many on the left choose to overlook this shift. They risk alienating consumers who may be feeling more confident about their ability to adapt to changing circumstances. By focusing solely on the negatives, they fail to provide a balanced view that acknowledges the adaptability of both consumers and businesses.

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The Right: Ignoring the Crisis

Conversely, voices from the right have often minimized the severity of the current economic challenges. In the wake of the pandemic, there is a tendency to highlight consumer confidence surveys that show optimism, while downplaying the broader implications of widespread job losses and business closures. This selective memory can mislead the public into believing that everything is returning to normal when, in fact, many families are still struggling to make ends meet.

"While it is crucial to promote a sense of hope, ignoring the underlying economic distress is equally dangerous."

The right’s approach can be characterized as overly optimistic, potentially leading to complacency in addressing serious economic issues. By framing the narrative in a way that ignores the struggles faced by millions, they risk creating a false sense of security that could hinder effective policy responses.

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A Call for Balance

What is needed at this moment is a collective effort to bridge the gap between these two extremes. A balanced discussion about consumer confidence must acknowledge both the challenges and the opportunities present in the current landscape. Politicians and commentators from both sides of the aisle should strive for an honest appraisal of the situation rather than resorting to selective memory that serves their agendas.

The Role of Policy

Policy decisions made in the coming months will significantly affect consumer confidence and the overall economy. Stimulus measures, unemployment benefits, and public health initiatives are crucial for restoring consumer trust. Policymakers must recognize the importance of addressing consumer concerns while also promoting a narrative of recovery. It is essential that both parties work together to create a comprehensive plan that reflects the realities faced by Americans.

Conclusion

As we navigate this unprecedented economic landscape, the bipartisan habit of selective memory only serves to create confusion and division. It is imperative for all stakeholders - politicians, media, and consumers alike - to engage in a more nuanced discussion about consumer confidence. Acknowledging the complexities of the current situation will not only foster a more informed public discourse but also pave the way for effective solutions that benefit everyone.


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