January 2014 · National edition

Commerce

On Housing Starts, and incentives on both sides of the aisle

A Commerce desk reading of housing starts, filed 2014-01.

From the file. Written for the paper dated January 2014. Opened in the public stacks July 14, 2026.

As housing starts show signs of a tentative recovery, the debate over the best approach to stimulate growth in the real estate market is intensifying. Both political sides have their own incentives and agendas, resulting in a complex landscape where neither approach seems wholly satisfactory.

The Saline Farmers Market in Saline, Michigan (United States).
The Saline Farmers Market in Saline, Michigan (United States). Photo: Michael Barera via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

The Current State of Housing Starts

Recent reports indicate that housing starts are picking up, albeit at a slow pace. In December 2013, the Commerce Department announced an increase in the number of new residential construction projects, raising hopes that the housing market was on the mend after years of stagnation. However, the numbers still fall short of pre-recession levels, leaving many questions about the sustainability of this recovery.

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While some analysts attribute the increase to pent-up demand and improved consumer confidence, others caution that the recovery is fragile. Rising interest rates and tight lending standards continue to be significant barriers for potential homebuyers, particularly first-time buyers who are crucial to a robust real estate market. The government's role in stimulating housing starts has become a focal point of discussion, with both Republicans and Democrats offering their own solutions.

Long Beach container port
Long Beach container port. Photo: biofriendly via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)

Incentives from the Left

On the left, the push for affordable housing remains strong. Progressive lawmakers advocate for increased government investment in housing programs, arguing that such measures are necessary to prevent a repeat of the housing crisis. Proposals include expanding tax credits for low-income housing and increasing funding for the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).

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Advocates for these policies argue that ensuring affordable housing is not only a social imperative but also an economic one. By investing in housing, they claim, the government can stimulate job growth in the construction sector and related industries. However, critics from the right argue that these incentives often lead to inefficiencies and dependency on government aid, potentially stifling private investment.

"While affordable housing is a noble goal, we must be cautious not to over-rely on government solutions that can create more problems than they solve." - A conservative economist

Incentives from the Right

Meanwhile, Republicans are advocating for a more market-driven approach. Their proposals typically focus on reducing regulations that they argue hinder housing development. This includes calls to streamline zoning laws and eliminate certain environmental regulations that can delay or block new construction projects.

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Proponents of this approach contend that by unleashing the free market, the housing sector can recover more robustly. They argue that fewer regulations will lead to more homes being built, ultimately driving down prices and increasing accessibility for buyers. However, detractors raise concerns that such deregulation could lead to environmental degradation and a lack of oversight, potentially creating a new set of problems.

"The government should step back and let the market find its own equilibrium. Overregulation is the enemy of progress." - A conservative lawmaker

A Middle Ground?

The stark contrast between the two sides raises the question: is there a viable middle ground? Some analysts suggest that a hybrid approach could be beneficial. For instance, combining targeted government incentives for affordable housing with market-oriented reforms could create a more balanced framework that addresses both the need for new construction and the necessity of affordable options for low-income families.

However, achieving such a compromise appears increasingly difficult in the current political climate. The partisan divide is deep, and both sides seem more inclined to dig in their heels rather than seek collaborative solutions. This gridlock threatens to prolong the recovery of the housing market and hinder economic growth overall.

The Road Ahead

As we move further into 2014, the question remains whether Congress can rise above partisan bickering to implement meaningful reforms in the housing sector. With the midterm elections on the horizon, both parties may be more focused on positioning themselves for electoral success than on crafting effective policy solutions.

In the coming months, it will be crucial to monitor how housing starts evolve and whether the political landscape shifts to accommodate a more cooperative spirit. The stakes are high, as the health of the housing market is intertwined with broader economic stability. A failure to address the underlying issues could mean that the recovery remains slow and unsteady, impacting not just the housing sector but the entire economy.


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